Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
95 Liberty 100.0%   13   28 - 4 13 - 3 28 - 4 13 - 3 +5.3      +2.0 121 +3.3 80 56.4 352 +7.4 72 +2.3 2
164 North Florida 0.0%   19 - 12 13 - 3 19 - 12 13 - 3 +0.4      +6.7 28 -6.3 323 71.7 99 +0.9 155 +3.4 1
236 Lipscomb 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 7 14 - 16 9 - 7 -4.2      -0.7 201 -3.6 282 70.3 137 -3.8 229 -4.0 4
246 Jacksonville 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 9 12 - 18 7 - 9 -4.8      -4.3 283 -0.5 195 65.9 257 -6.6 276 -7.4 7
283 North Alabama 0.0%   11 - 17 8 - 8 11 - 17 8 - 8 -6.8      -4.5 289 -2.3 253 71.9 95 -7.4 285 -5.3 5
285 Stetson 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 7 14 - 17 9 - 7 -6.9      -2.8 251 -4.1 295 59.7 345 -5.1 247 -3.6 3
288 NJIT 0.0%   8 - 21 6 - 10 8 - 21 6 - 10 -7.3      -5.3 310 -2.0 239 66.5 247 -10.3 322 -8.8 8
298 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 9 8 - 22 7 - 9 -7.8      -7.5 339 -0.3 188 65.2 273 -9.8 318 -6.9 6
351 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   1 - 28 0 - 16 1 - 28 0 - 16 -19.1      -12.7 351 -6.3 324 69.0 173 -21.2 351 -23.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Liberty 1.0 100.0
North Florida 1.0 100.0
Lipscomb 3.0 100.0
Jacksonville 6.0 100.0
North Alabama 5.0 100.0
Stetson 3.0 100.0
NJIT 8.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 6.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Liberty 13 - 3 100.0
North Florida 13 - 3 100.0
Lipscomb 9 - 7 100.0
Jacksonville 7 - 9 100.0
North Alabama 8 - 8 100.0
Stetson 9 - 7 100.0
NJIT 6 - 10 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 7 - 9 100.0
Kennesaw St. 0 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Liberty 100.0% 100.0
North Florida 100.0% 100.0
Lipscomb
Jacksonville
North Alabama
Stetson
NJIT
Florida Gulf Coast
Kennesaw St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Liberty 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   29.2 55.3 15.3 0.2
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Liberty 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 19.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 19.3% 0.2 80.7 19.3
Sweet Sixteen 5.0% 0.0 95.0 5.0
Elite Eight 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0